The AI supercomputer predicts the Premier League relegation battle as a club has an 80 per cent chance of survival
As we approach the final day of an exciting Premier League season, there is still plenty to play for as a dramatic day looms at the end of the league.
The table lead is now almost all confirmed Manchester City, Arsenal, Manchester United and Newcastle all secure a place in the top four, while Liverpool and Brighton are sixth and seventh.
Jurgen Klopp’s side will now play in the Europa League for the first time since reaching the final of the tournament in 2015/16, while Brighton’s 1-1 draw with Manchester City last weekend confirmed they are also in the tournament will participate for the first time in the club’s history.
However, the last European spot is still open as Aston Villa (7th), Tottenham (8th) and Brentford (9th) can all secure a place in the Europa Conference League depending on Sunday’s results.
But things will heat up at the bottom of the table on Sunday as three of English football’s giants, Everton (17th), Leicester (18th) and Leeds (19th) are all in danger of relegation.
A supercomputer has predicted that Leeds have a three per cent chance of staying up this season
The AI has also said Leicester will be relegated this season, giving an 82 per cent chance of relegation
The software has also helped Everton stay on top, giving the Toffees a 20 per cent chance of going under
Any club can mathematically survive the drop if Sunday’s results are positive.
But acc OptaLeeds have just a three per cent chance of staying up this season and their AI supercomputer gives Everton a 79.6 per cent chance of staying up too, with the computer ensuring Leicester just two years after their win from the top flight retires the FA Cup.
The fight below
Had Leicester or Everton won last weekend things could have been very different ahead of the Premier League finals.
The Foxes’ goalless draw with Newcastle could prove crucial to their hopes of staying up and picking up a point at St James’ Park, which has become particularly strong for the Geordies this season, would be a big one Coup for Dean Smith’s team.
That will be a concern for the Toffees as Leicester could head into the final game of the season against West Ham, now safe from relegation, with renewed confidence but one eye on the Europa Conference League final against Sevilla threw next Wednesday.
But David Moyes’ side are no high achievers and considering Leicester have recorded just one win in their last 13 games, with Monday night’s tie against Newcastle being their first conceding in 22 Premier League games, the supercomputer says that the odds are 82.8 The probability of Leicester being relegated is around 100%.
However, the prospects for Leeds are much bleaker as the supercomputer suggests the Yorkshire side have a 97 per cent chance of relegation as Sam Allardyce’s side suffered a 3-1 defeat by West Ham at the weekend.
But there’s still a chance things can change as they face a chaotic side from Tottenham on Sunday, who have taken just five points from their last six games.
According to Opta, the supercomputer has given Everton a 79 per cent chance of survival, while Leicester’s survivability is 17 per cent and Leeds three per cent
Sam Allardyce’s side (right) suffered a 3-1 defeat at West Ham last weekend and will play Tottenham on Sunday
Everton defender Yerry Mina (right) saved the weekend’s last-minute equalizer against Wolves to keep their hopes of avoiding relegation alive. They play Bournemouth at Goodison Park
Leicester played at Newcastle last weekend and will play West Ham this Sunday
Everton are currently outside the relegation zone and meet Bournemouth at Goodison Park on Sunday.
Sean Dyche’s side have tragically lost all four of their most recent meetings against Bournemouth, conceding three or more goals in each game, but the Blues have just a 20 per cent chance of going under, according to Opta.
So what does each side have to do to stay on top?
Relegation battle permutations
everton The best chances of avoiding relegation are right now.
The toffees stay up if they:
defeated Bournemouth; Draw with Bournemouth, Leicester fall short of victory and Leeds fall short of victory by three goals; or lose to Bournemouth and Leicester and Leeds don’t win either.
leicester are seeded in 18th place, but still have chances of staying up.
For this you need:
one win West Ham and one defeat Everton.
leeds have the least chance of survival.
To stay on top, Sam Allardyce’s team must:
beat Tottenham and watch both Everton and Leicester lose; or Defeat Tottenham by three or more goals with Everton drawing and Leicester not winning.
There’s a chance Leeds can still stay on top if Leicester win and Everton lose as both are currently tied on 31 points, but they need to come back from a nine-goal deficit to pass Leicester on goal difference.
Qualification for the Europa Conference League
At the other end of the table, Aston Villa, Tottenham and Brentford are all still in with a chance of qualifying for the Europa Conference League.
For Unai Emery’s side, perhaps a place in Europe next season would be a just reward for his side’s excellent form this season.
A slip-up earlier in the season saw the Villains fall back into the relegation zone after losing four of their first six games, but after Steven Gerrard was replaced by Emery in October the club climbed to seventh in the league.
They currently sit at the top of the battle for the last European spot but could have been pushing for a Europa League spot if they hadn’t lost to Manchester United and Wolves earlier in the month.
However, they face a difficult game against Brighton on Sunday, while Tottenham, a point behind them in eighth, meet relegation rivals Leeds.
Tottenham are still close to securing the European football spot next season after being eliminated from the top four
Thomas Frank’s side meet Man City this weekend and could overtake Spurs and Villa to finish seventh
Unai Emery’s side could be rewarded with a Europa Conference League spot if they win at the weekend
It was a tough end to the season for Ryan Mason’s side, who have struggled since Antonio Conte left the club and dropped from the top four to eighth place.
Whilst there is nothing to complain about European football, it is far from the expectations of the club’s fan base, who only a few months ago saw their side knocked out of the Champions League.
Brentford, meanwhile, could also secure European football, with Thomas Frank’s side soaring again this year, beating last season’s 13th place finish and could secure a place in Europe with a win over Manchester City.
It will be a difficult task, but given that City are now focused on the two upcoming cup finals, the Bees have a good chance.
Europa Conference League permutations
To reach seventh place, AstonVilla must:
hit Brighton; Draw against Brighton and see Tottenham and Brentford both lose; or lose to Brighton and see Tottenham and Brentford lose too.
Tottenham can be seventh if:
They beat Leeds and lose Aston Villa; or they draw against Leeds and Aston Villa and Brentford both lose.
Brentford can finish seventh and qualify for the Europa Conference League if:
They win against Man City and Villa and Spurs both lose.